Ecto24601 wrote: ↑November 30th, 2021, 4:53 am Your numbers are wrong but we're still on a great way to get to 15,000. Personally I would have loved to see a class 5 tier...just for the fun of having a class 5.
Hi Ecto24601,
Respectfully, my numbers are not wrong. However, if you find a flaw in my math, I am open to hearing your logic. My numbers are derived from a straight percentage calculation, based on the number of new backers against the total number needed to achieve each class unlock:
Current # Backers X
------------------------------------------------------------ = ----------
Minimum # Backers Needed for Class Tier "Y" 100
As such:
11,902 is 91% of 13,000 (Class 3 tier/stretch goal #3 - Egon's Notebook/Ghostbusters sticker sheets)
11,902 is 79% of 15,000 (Class 4 tier/stretch goal #4 - faux diamond plate display stand)
Apparently I am not the only fan that uses Excel to calculate out various aspects of this crowdfund campaign. I started keeping daily track of this crowdfund on 11/18/21, and my data shows the following:
The minimum amount of backers needed for the pack to go into production was achieved on day 9 of the crowdfund period (CP) on 11/5/21 (this I found several pages back in this very forum)
Stretch goal #1 was achieved on day 24 of the CP, on 11/20/21
Stretch goal #2 was achieved on day 30 of the CP, on 11/26/21
The day all stretch goals were revealed, 11/22/21, saw an astounding 591 new backers come onboard on that day alone. The following day saw 355 new backers join the party.
Since 11/20/21, at least 200 new backers per day have come onboard . .. or, to put it another way: 216 < = New Backers < = 271
As of this writing, an average of 350 backers per day over the entire course of the CP is supporting this crowdfund effort, with 148 new backers having come onboard since 12:01 am this morning. If we don't break 12,000 backers before midnight tonight, at this rate we definitely will before noon tomorrow.
My spreadsheet also calculates the minimum number of backers needed, per day, to achieve each stretch goal. I even have a column for how many per hour (yes, that is a bit much, I agree . . .). As such, for the last two:
92 new backers per day, for the rest of the CP, is necessary to achieve the Class 3 tier/stretch goal #3
258 new backers per day, for the rest of the CP, is necessary to achieve the Class 4 tier/stretch goal #4 (by extension, this would also fund tier #3)
Put another way, if we fall below the bare minimum of 92 new backers per day until the CP is over, then stretch goals 3 and 4 can never be met, mathematically. Similarly, if we fall below the bare minimum of 258 new backers per day until the CP is over, then stretch goal 4 can never be met.
You're right - a Class 5 would be fun - come on Haslab, what do you say? Something appropriately in tribute to Ray's proclamation of Slimer being a focused, non-terminal, repeating phantasm, a.k.a. Class 5 Full Roaming Vapor . . .